While Americans debate whether Donald Trump or Sen. Ted Cruz would be the better president, here’s the one question they should ask:
Are Republicans demographically shut out of the White House?
Hispanics, 17.4 percent (according to the latest Census) of the U.S. population (and increasing), vote for Democrats. Blacks, about 13 percent of the population, vote for Democrats. Americans of Asian descent, about 5.4 percent of the U.S. population, vote for Democrats.
Whites are about 62 percent of the population (excluding Hispanics who say they’re white). Although Mitt Romney won 59 percent of these voters, he lost because of non-white voters.
As more Americans and illegal aliens have grown accustomed to Big Government, the numbers don’t look good for a party that claims to want to reduce the government and tighten the borders. National sovereignty, gun rights, religious freedom — these and other issues seem to be less important to some than they used to be.
The Washington Post on the demographic bottom line:
While [Trump’s] dismal numbers among women and Hispanics, to name two groups, don’t help matters and could — in a worst-case scenario for Republicans — put states such as Arizona and even Utah in play for Democrats, the map problems that face the GOP have very, very little to do with Trump or even Cruz.
Instead they are, largely, demographic problems centered on the GOP’s inability to win any large swath of nonwhite voters. New Mexico, a state in which almost half the population is Latino, is the ur-example here. In 2004, George W. Bush won the Land of Enchantment in his bid for a second term. (His margin over John Kerry was 588 votes.) Eight years later, Barack Obama won the state by 10 points over Mitt Romney; neither side targeted it in any meaningful way.
As the Post stated, Republican voters will blame Trump’s seemingly inevitable nomination on a loss come November, but Sen. Cruz would fare no better if voting patterns play out.
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