Will More Black Voters Shift Toward the GOP?

What will it take to start shifting the voting percentage among black Americans?

Every four years, around 90 percent of black American voters choose to elect the Democratic candidate for president. Without fail. Even now, in an economy that’s seen employment gains among blacks, the overwhelming majority of them will vote against their interests in 2020.

Democrats advocate abortion and homosexual “marriage,” and black voters, even if they’re Christians and oppose both, will make what seems like an irrational choice.

Democratic presidential candidate Mayor Pete Buttigieg, for example, “married” to a man, visited a black church, headed by William Barber, former president of the North Carolina NAACP. Barber, leader of the congregation, told this congregation that to be authentically Christian, they must be “open and affirming” of Buttigieg’s homosexuality, which the God of the Bible calls a sin. An abomination.

Why would black, Bible-believing Christians vote for this?

Two recent polls show black support for President Donald Trump has increased. Is this reason enough to be optimistic? Stewart Lawrence, a public policy analyst, sounds optimistic (emphasis added):

Despite condemning Trump publicly as a bigot, Democrats are privately worried about this. They should be. Two recent and highly reputable polls have registered an extraordinarily high “favorability” rating for Trump among black voters – about 34-35 percent, far exceeding the 8 percent of the black electorate that actually voted for Trump in 2016. That’s a huge jump from the 9 percent favorability rating among African Americans he earned in 2018 and the 13 percent he achieved earlier this year.

Of course, a 35 percent favorability rating may not translate into 35 percent support in the 2020 election, but it doesn’t have to. Even a substantial gain to double-digit support could provide the margin of difference in key swing states, such as Pennsylvania and Michigan, sealing Trump’s reelection.

As Lawrence notes, eight percent of black voters voted to elect President Trump. Since his election, Trump-supporting blacks seem to have proliferated on Twitter. These former liberal voters boldly wear MAGA hats and tweet about their decisions to #walkaway from the party.

It might take a generation to break that 90 percent black-voting bloc, but if the polling trends and the vocal and visible black MAGA support holds, we have reasons to be optimistic.

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